Michigan’s weather this week: Cooler temperatures, but will there be rain?

May 05, 2023

The hot weather of last week will back off some this week. This new temperature pattern will still come with some very skimpy chances of rain. Eventually late in the week we will have a moderate move toward a pattern with occasional thunderstorms.

Here are the high temperature forecasts each day through this Friday.

High temperature forecast for Monday, June 5 to Friday, June 9

A cold front is moving south across Lower Michigan today. We will still have very warm temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s across southern Lower Michigan today. After today, high temperatures will be more in the 75 degrees-to-80 degree range for most of the week and most of Lower Michigan. I would call this a much cooler week, but still feeling like summer.

The rainfall is going to be sparse to none through Friday. A cold front today could bring you a half hour shower if you are lucky. While the model below doesn't show Tuesday showers, most of the other data shows also another half-hour shower possible Tuesday.

Forecast of rain areas in three hour increments through 8 p.m. Saturday, June 10.

The upper-air pattern gradually flattens out this week, going from a blocked up, dry pattern to a pattern that should deliver a valid disturbance or two by the weekend and early next week. When you look at the rainfall forecast above you will notice a larger area of scattered thundershowers indicated on Saturday. I consider Saturday the beginning of what we call a progressive weather pattern where storm systems could again start moving across the U.S. and bring rain to Michigan.

We do have to remember that summer storm systems are much smaller and weaker than winter storm systems. So we have to rely on time of day for our best shots at meaningful rain in thunderstorms. If the disturbance is rolling through Lower Michigan in the late afternoon and evening, or the period around sunrise, the rain has a chance of holding together.

It's a start toward getting some much-needed rain. From what I see in the evolving weather pattern, we should have a few decent thunderstorm rounds and rains between June 11 and June 20. Until then you’ll have to hope for a quick shower today and tomorrow, but more likely will need to keep watering your garden.

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